Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.485879 1.688846 1.911216 2.173221 2.473868 2.808513 3.209860
2025-11-02 1.140754 1.396295 1.699012 2.085180 2.566330 3.148167 3.908285
2025-11-09 0.895326 1.164130 1.503591 1.966039 2.583202 3.383444 4.507800
2025-11-16 0.754718 1.033481 1.405441 1.941895 2.702146 3.750433 5.321774
2025-11-23 0.643919 0.922095 1.311405 1.901526 2.783144 4.066713 6.105032
2025-11-30 0.593378 0.885374 1.312393 1.990252 3.054056 4.684007 7.417625
2025-12-07 0.541953 0.838867 1.290507 2.037879 3.264242 5.232692 8.703485
2025-12-14 0.485936 0.777180 1.236061 2.024321 3.370921 5.625557 9.787017
2025-12-21 0.427663 0.704269 1.154034 1.953041 3.368576 5.831219 10.570475
2025-12-28 0.405327 0.687387 1.160810 2.030936 3.630531 6.524415 12.337554
2026-01-04 0.385249 0.671638 1.166923 2.107011 3.897043 7.258711 14.295324
2026-01-11 0.361402 0.646348 1.152972 2.143789 4.093312 7.884924 16.135314
2026-01-18 0.337946 0.620078 1.135859 2.175518 4.290281 8.552414 18.201934
2026-01-25 0.305385 0.573437 1.075972 2.117096 4.299957 8.845058 19.517446
2026-02-01 0.270974 0.519618 0.996572 2.009756 4.193808 8.879725 20.259806
2026-02-08 0.250451 0.490757 0.962738 1.991679 4.274522 9.327720 22.040221
2026-02-15 0.230040 0.459993 0.921777 1.953375 4.305319 9.668014 23.620295
2026-02-22 0.224263 0.458487 0.940421 2.046309 4.644482 10.765988 27.298723
2026-03-01 0.214872 0.448400 0.939868 2.096179 4.890140 11.678496 30.669339
2026-03-08 0.200938 0.427169 0.913097 2.082599 4.981552 12.225605 33.156615
2026-03-15 0.183625 0.396889 0.863412 2.009315 4.915873 12.365533 34.530580
2026-03-22 0.179220 0.394933 0.877004 2.089702 5.250006 13.596024 39.304690
2026-03-29 0.174813 0.392515 0.889232 2.168177 5.590383 14.897148 44.561996